Research

Manfred Keil, Edward Leamer, Yao Li. An Investigation into the Probability That This is the Last Year of the Economic Expansion. Journal of Forecasting, 2023. Available at: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/for.2939

Yao Li, Lauren Xiaoyuan Lu, Jan A. Van Mieghem, Wenqiang Xiao. Fulfillment by Amazon as a Strategic Lever: Anticompetitive or Welfare Enhancing? Under Review at Management Science. Available at https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5376166
Yao Li, Itai Gurvich, Jan A. Van Mieghem. Appointment Interval Optimization and Type-dependent Appointment Customization. (Working paper available upon request )
Manfred Keil, Edward Leamer, Yao Li. Using Term Spreads to Forecast the End of Economic Expansions in the U.S. Under Review at Journal of Business Cycle Research. Available at https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4949367
Manfred Keil, Yao Li, James Symons. A Cost-Benefit Analysis of Policy Stringency During the COVID-19 Crisis Using U.S. State Data. (Working paper available upon request)