Research

Journal Publications

• Manfred Keil, Edward Leamer, Yao Li. An Investigation into the Probability That This is the Last Year of the Economic Expansion. Journal of Forecasting, 2023. Available at: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/for.2939

Working Papers

• Yao Li, Lauren Xiaoyuan Lu, Jan A. Van Mieghem, Wenqiang Xiao. Fulfillment by Amazon as a Strategic Lever: Anticompetitive or Welfare Enhancing? Under Review at Management Science. Available at https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5376166

• Yao Li, Itai Gurvich, Jan A. Van Mieghem. Appointment Interval Optimization and Type-dependent Appointment Customization.

• Manfred Keil, Edward Leamer, Yao Li. Analyzing the Failure of the Yield Curve to Forecast Economic Downturns: The Godot Recession and the Vibecession.

• Manfred Keil, Yao Li, James Symons. A Cost-Benefit Analysis of Policy Stringency During the COVID-19 Crisis Using U.S. State Data.